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BeatingTheClose

Tennis predictions

Beat the close. Previews and picks for every big match.

ATP and WTA match previews with our model's call on who wins, the market price, and a public record of how every pick turned out.

Latest predictions

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What you get

Match previews

Form, fitness, travel and the storylines that matter, written for fans and bettors before every big day of play.

Model-driven picks

Every call starts from our own match model and gets a sanity check against the latest injury and schedule news.

Graded in public

Picks go up before the match and get graded after it. The record is on every page, good days and bad.

Why "beating the close" matters

Win/loss records are noisy: a good bet can lose and a bad one can win. The closing price, the last price before the first serve, is the market's best guess with all the news priced in.

If you regularly get a better price than the close, you're probably ahead of the market. That's the standard we hold our own picks to.

ExampleIllustrative
You buy at
42¢
It closes at
51¢
You beat the close by
+9¢